Bayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics.



Zusammenfassung
A textbook and guide to conducting Bayesian decision analysis of sometimes very complex policies and collaborative decisions.
Titel
Bayesian Decision Analysis
Untertitel
Principles and Practice
EAN
9780511855153
ISBN
978-0-511-85515-3
Format
E-Book (pdf)
Veröffentlichung
23.09.2010
Digitaler Kopierschutz
Adobe-DRM
Dateigrösse
2.02 MB
Anzahl Seiten
348
Jahr
2010
Untertitel
Englisch