Few functions of economics are more important, few more difficult, than that of indicating what the relatively distant future will bring in the way of employment, investment, production, etc. The problems involved and methods used in attacking them are clearly brought out in this volume by Simon Kuznets, William Fellner, Arthur Smithies, and others. The areas covered include long-range projection as a whole; population, manpower, and productivity; industrial parts of the economy; private capital, government expenditures, and foreign trade; and regional projection.
Originally published in 1954.
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Autorentext
NBER
Inhalt
- Frontmatter,
- Contents,
- Introduction,
- Concepts and Assumptions in Long-Term Projections of National Product,
- Long-Term Projections of the Labor Force,
- National Productivity and Its Long-Term Projection,
- Projections in Agriculture,
- Some Considerations in Appraising the Long-Run Prospects for Agriculture,
- Specific Industry Output Projections,
- Productive Capacity, Industrial Production, and Steel Requirements,
- Long-Term Tendencies in Private Capital Formation: The Rate of Growth and Capital Coefficients,
- Problems of Estimating Spending and Saving in Long- Range Projections,
- Long-Run Projections and Government Revenue and Expenditure Policies,
- Conceptual Problems Involved in Projections of the International Sector of Gross National Product,
- Regional and National Product Projections and Their Interrelations,
- Index,
- Backmatter,