Based on many years of applied research, modeling and educating future decision makers, the authors have selected the critical set of mathematical modeling skills for decision analysis to include in this book. The book focuses on the model formulation and modeling building skills, as well as the technology to support decision analysis. The authors cover many of the main techniques that have been incorporated into their three-course sequence in mathematical modeling for decision making in the Department of Defense Analysis at the Naval Postgraduate School.
Autorentext
William P. Fox is currently a professor in the department of mathematics at the College of William and Mary and is also Professor Emeritus in the Department of Defense Analysis at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, CA. He earned his Ph.D. in Industrial Engineering/Operations Research at Clemson University, and his M.S. in Operations Research and Systems Analysis at the Naval Postgraduate School. He is responsible for coordination of a three-course sequence in Mathematical Modeling for Decision Making. His research interests include mathematical education; STEM education; quantitative decision theory; multi-attribute decision making and sensitivity analysis; and applications of game theory. He is the author of many textbooks and journal articles.
Inhalt
Chapter 1: Mathematical Modeling and Operations Research for Military Decision Making.- Chapter 2: Statistics, Probability, and Model Fitting.- Chapter 3 Model Fitting with Regression.- Chapter 4: Mathematical Programming (Optimization).- Chapter 5: Decision Analysis using Multi-attribute Decision Making.- Chapter 6: Game Theory Models.- Chapter 7: Modeling Change with Dynamical Systems Models and Differential Equations.- Chapter 8: Monte Carlo Simulation & Agent Based Models.- Chapter 9 Supply Chain Network Logistics.