This book explores the role of deception, delay, and self-deception in the dynamics of organized conflict, taking a formal approach that hews closely to the asymptotic limit theorems of information and control theories. The resulting probability models can, with some effort-and some confidence-be converted to statistical tools for the analysis of real-time observational and 'experimental' data on institutionalized confrontation across both traditional and emerging 'Clausewitz Landscapes'.



Inhalt
1. Failure of control
Introduction
The Data Rate Theorem
Cognition rate and stability
Multiple delays
Multiple theaters
Control system thrashing
Discussion
References
2 Failure of institutional cognition I
Introduction
The Data Rate Theorem
Scalarizing resources and their interactions
Fog, friction, and delay
Institutional cognition under delay
Discussion
References
3 Failure of institutional cognition II
Introduction
Institutional cognition reconsidered
Iterated 'Free Energy' and system dynamics
Some examples
Some remarks on workgroup topology
Discussion
Mathematical Appendix
References
4 The 'Self-Maskirovka' of military scientism
Introduction
The Data Rate Theorem
Scalarizing resources and their interactions
A first failure model
A second failure model
Other 'regression models'
Discussion
References
5 Extending the models

Titel
Deception and Delay in Organized Conflict
Untertitel
Essays on the Mathematical Theory of Maskirovka
EAN
9783030961770
Format
E-Book (pdf)
Digitaler Kopierschutz
Wasserzeichen
Dateigrösse
1.97 MB
Anzahl Seiten
75