The Decision Maker's Playbook is an easy-to-use, "how-to" toolkit to improve managers' decision making, using visualisations, relevant examples and actionable checklists that cater to its main target group: analytically interested, busy managers and entrepreneurs.
The Decision Maker's Playbook will help readers navigate a complex world. Along the four chapters of the books, it will help you in:
1. Collective Evidence
2. Connecting the Dots
3. Crafting the Approach
4. Complete the Mission
The Decision Maker's Playbook is your personal toolbox to help you make better decisions. It offers practical advice to help you understand, analyse and shape your world.
As simplified representations of reality, the models portrayed in this book allow us to see patterns, identify relationships, and view the world from different vantage points. They help us understand and break up complex phenomena into tractable pieces.
From Unknown unknowns over Fat Tails to Counterfactuals, this book will make lesser known but highly relevant models available for immediate use - in a visual way, supported by applicable case studies and without jargon.
Autorentext
Simon Mueller helps CEOs and their teams design robust decision systems to improve outcomes. As an investor and management advisor, he has worked with dozens of public and private organizations in over 19 countries. Simon is also co-founder of the global non-profit organization The Future Society, which focuses on governance of emerging technologies such as Artificial Intelligence (AI). He is a frequent keynote speaker, panelist and guest lecturer on topics related to decision-making, corporate strategy, AI, robotics and automation. In his free time, he enjoys sailing, cycling and mountaineering.
Julia Dhar is a behavioral economist who uses her expertise to make organizations more productive, profitable and happier. She has worked extensively across the United States, the Middle East, Central Asia and Australia in the public and private sectors. Julia has also held policy and advisory roles in government, including Private Secretary to New Zealand's Minister of Finance.
Inhalt
- Part 1 Collect evidence
- 1 Illuminate your blind spots
- 2 Bust your biases
- 3 Explore your data
- Part 2 Connect the dots
- 4 Drill down
- 5 Move the needle
- 6 See the big picture
- Part 3 Craft the approach
- 7 Think on the margin
- 8 Score points
- 9 Walk the talk
- Part 4 Complete the mission
- 10 Multiply your possibilities
- 11 Engineer incentives
- 12 Make it happen
- 13 Conclusion
- Appendix: Confidence calibration
- Further resources